Legislature(2023 - 2024)SENATE FINANCE 532

03/30/2023 09:00 AM Senate FINANCE

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09:02:28 AM Start
09:04:29 AM Presentation: Retirement Income Comparisons - Pensions Vs. 401(k)
10:52:59 AM Adjourn
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
Presentation: Retirement Income Comparisons -
Pensions vs. 401(k) by David Teal, Consultant to
the Senate Finance Committee
+ Bills Previously Heard/Scheduled TELECONFERENCED
                 SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE                                                                                       
                      March 30, 2023                                                                                            
                         9:02 a.m.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
9:02:28 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CALL TO ORDER                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman   called  the  Senate   Finance  Committee                                                                    
meeting to order at 9:02 a.m.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS PRESENT                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Senator Donny Olson, Co-Chair                                                                                                   
Senator Bert Stedman, Co-Chair                                                                                                  
Senator Click Bishop                                                                                                            
Senator Jesse Kiehl                                                                                                             
Senator David Wilson                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS ABSENT                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Senator Lyman Hoffman, Co-Chair                                                                                                 
Senator Kelly Merrick                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
ALSO PRESENT                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
David Teal, Consultant to the Senate Finance Committee                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
SUMMARY                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
PRESENTATION: RETIREMENT  INCOME COMPARISONS -  PENSIONS VS.                                                                    
401(k)                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  discussed the agenda. He  relayed that the                                                                    
committee  would consider  a presentation  from David  Teal,                                                                    
who was a consultant for  the Senate Finance Committee after                                                                    
working as the director  of the Legislative Finance Division                                                                    
for many years.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
^PRESENTATION: RETIREMENT INCOME  COMPARISONS - PENSIONS VS.                                                                  
401(k)                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
9:04:29 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DAVID  TEAL, CONSULTANT  TO  THE  SENATE FINANCE  COMMITTEE,                                                                    
introduced  himself and  discussed  his  background. He  had                                                                    
worked as the Legislative Finance  Director for 20 years. He                                                                    
had been  involved with the  pension issue in 2004  and 2005                                                                    
when the state  had switched from its Tier  III pension plan                                                                    
to a Tier IV, Defined Contribution Plan.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
9:05:24 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  discussed   a  presentation  entitled  "Comparing                                                                    
Potential  Retirement  Income   Under  Defined  Benefit  and                                                                    
Defined  Contribution  Plans  Offered to  Non-Public  Safety                                                                    
Employees  under  the  Alaska  Public  Employees  Retirement                                                                    
System (PERS)," (copy on file).                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal turned to slide 2:                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     Retirement  is  a  straightforward  conceptpeople   set                                                                    
     aside  money while  they work  so  they can  eventually                                                                    
     live on sources of income other than work.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
     While  simple  in   concept,  discussion/evaluation  of                                                                    
     retirement is complicated by several factors:                                                                              
     • there is no set retirement age,                                                                                          
         retirement   lifestyle   requirements   depend   on                                                                    
     individual  preferences  and  financial  circumstances,                                                                    
     and                                                                                                                        
     • the  method of saving  money during working  years is                                                                    
     not the same for everyone.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
9:06:45 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal spoke to slide 3:                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     There are three categories of retirement plans:                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
     1. Social  Security is a federal  government retirement                                                                    
     plan that most workers joinnot necessarily by choice.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     2.  At  the other  extreme,  many  individuals save  on                                                                    
     their  own (often  in traditional  IRAs,  Roth IRAs  or                                                                    
     deferred compensation plans).                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
     3. The  middle ground is employer  sponsored retirement                                                                    
     plans that both employer and employees contribute to.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  commented that  Social  Security  was more  of  a                                                                    
 safety net   and was  not necessarily  meant to  be primary                                                                    
income.  He commented  that the  presentation  was a  little                                                                    
"data dense," with  many tables and graphs.  He relayed that                                                                    
he would  share his conclusions  first and then  present the                                                                    
accompanying data.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
9:08:27 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal referenced slide 4:                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     Conclusions      Public  Employees   Retirement  System                                                                  
     (PERS)  only    excludes  police  and firefighters  and                                                                    
     those in the Teachers Retirement System (TRS)                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
     1. Available  data do not  support the  conclusion that                                                                
     Alaska's Tier IV defined  contribution plan is inferior                                                                  
     to a Tier III  pension, particularly regarding employee                                                                  
     retention.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
     2. Whether  a 401(k)  plan or a  pension is  a "better"                                                                
     retirement system is not clear.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                              
          1. In most cases, a 401(k) plan offers greater                                                                        
          potential retirement income.                                                                                          
          2. Individual circumstances  and preferences vary.                                                                    
          Some  people  would  prefer  the  certainty  of  a                                                                    
          pensioneven   if  it  provides  less  incomewhile                                                                     
          others prefer the advantages of a 401(k) plan.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     3. For  those fortunate  employees that  participate in                                                                  
     the Supplemental  Benefits System (SBS) as  well as the                                                                  
     401(k)  plan, 25%  of  their salary  is  set aside  for                                                                  
     retirement. Given  at least 15  years of service  and a                                                                  
     well-managed  nest  egg,  they   can  look  forward  to                                                                  
    retirement income of at least 70% of final salary.                                                                        
                                                                                                                              
     4.  Some   employees  have   neither  SBS   nor  Social                                                                  
     Security,  and retirement  options  for  them could  be                                                                  
     improved.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                              
Mr. Teal noted that he would  further refer to the Tier III,                                                                    
Defined Benefits Plan as  pension   and the Tier IV, Defined                                                                    
Contribution Plan as a 401k. He  noted that no plan was best                                                                    
for everyone, and that people  had various reasons to choose                                                                    
which  plan worked  best for  them.  He said  that after  30                                                                    
years of  service an employee  would end up with  64 percent                                                                    
of final salary, not 70 percent,  but he believed using a 70                                                                    
percent target was appropriate.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
9:12:28 AM                                                                                                                    
Mr. Teal continued  to address slide 4. He  noted that there                                                                    
were many  PERS employers that  did not offer either  SBS or                                                                    
Social  Security, which  he believed  was  a situation  that                                                                    
could be improved.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
9:13:15 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Olson   considered  number   3  on  slide   4  and                                                                    
considered a   well-managed nest  egg.  He queried  the rate                                                                    
of return of a well-managed rest egg.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal relayed  that he  had looked  at several  rates of                                                                    
return.  He thought  7 percent  was  too high  He thought  6                                                                    
percent was a  reasonable return over the long  term, but to                                                                    
expect fluctuations.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Olson was  concerned that if a  person was managing                                                                    
their  own account  (as in  a defined  contribution account)                                                                    
the numbers were  not as high as  someone using professional                                                                    
investors.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal thought  that people  using professional  managers                                                                    
should get a  higher rate of return. He  mentioned the issue                                                                    
of a pooled retirement account  having a longer time horizon                                                                    
without  the  same  investment restrictions  on  investments                                                                    
that a single  investor would have. He pointed  out that the                                                                    
other  problem with  managing one's  own money  was not  the                                                                    
return  on  investment, but  that  there  was no  return  on                                                                    
investment  because people  took their  money out  early. He                                                                    
reiterated that preferences  and circumstances differed, and                                                                    
that there was not a plan that fit all people.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
9:16:48 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator Bishop looked at number 3 on slide 4:                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     For those  fortunate employees that participate  in the                                                                    
     Supplemental  Benefits  System  (SBS) as  well  as  the                                                                    
     401(k)  plan, 25%  of  their salary  is  set aside  for                                                                    
     retirement. Given  at least 15  years of service  and a                                                                    
     well-managed  nest  egg,  they   can  look  forward  to                                                                    
    retirement income of at least 70% of final salary.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Senator Bishop asked  whether it was being  assumed that the                                                                    
funds were being kept full for 30 years of service.                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal answered in the affirmative.                                                                                           
Senator  Bishop considered  that  not everyone  knew how  to                                                                    
manage  their  own  money.  He  noted  that  90  percent  of                                                                    
withdrawals in the last 7  months came from people with only                                                                    
5 years vested.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  thought  some  of  the  issues  would  be                                                                    
covered  by upcoming  slides, such  as people  that did  not                                                                    
stay employed for the full 30 years.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
9:18:15 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal relayed  that he  had intended  to address  income                                                                    
under a 401k  plan and the pension, but late  in the process                                                                    
had decided to put in  slides pertaining to retention, which                                                                    
seemed  to be  the  topic that  was  driving the  retirement                                                                    
discussion. He thought some believed  that the 401k plan was                                                                    
so bad that  the state could not attract  employees. He felt                                                                    
that  the  problem  was  not  an  employee,  but  rather  an                                                                    
employer  problem,  which would  lead  to  a public  service                                                                    
problem.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
9:19:03 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal turned to slide 5:                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     Employee Retention                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     There is little argument that employee retention is a                                                                      
     problem in Alaska.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     The question is: How much of the retention problem is                                                                      
     due to the retirement system?                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
9:19:48 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  considered slide 6,  which was a  graph addressing                                                                    
employee retention rates,  by class year. He  noted that the                                                                    
slide was used with  permission from a previous presentation                                                                    
by current  Legislative Finance Director Alexei  Painter. He                                                                    
cited that  the graph  showed that  30 percent  of employees                                                                    
did not make  it past the first year of  employment, with 45                                                                    
percent failing to meet the 5-year vestment time.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal emphasized that retention  was not just a state and                                                                    
or  retirement  system problem,  Rather  it  was a  national                                                                    
problem and a private  sector problem. He referenced Senator                                                                    
Bishop's  question and  pondered how  much of  the retention                                                                    
problem was due to the retirement system.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
9:21:57 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator Kiehl  observed that the  slide was prepared  with a                                                                    
limited data  set. He wondered  whether the  retention rates                                                                    
were  better when  considering  all  PERS employees,  rather                                                                    
than only the State of Alaska.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal was not familiar enough  with the data to know what                                                                    
was  included.  He expressed  shock  that  retention in  the                                                                    
state was such a large problem.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Senator Kiehl  explained that  he had  asked because  in the                                                                    
PERS financial reports, turnover  rates were considered, and                                                                    
the defined benefit and  defined contribution were compared.                                                                    
He said that when the totality  of a career of all employees                                                                    
in  the system  it  had  been found  that  there  was a  1.5                                                                    
percent  higher  turnover  rate  with  defined  contribution                                                                    
employees than with defined benefit employees.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  asked whether Senator Kiehl  was including                                                                    
police and  fire, non-SBS or  Social Security,  or factoring                                                                    
them out.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Senator Kiehl thought that the  actuarial analysis was based                                                                    
on   non-police/fire  but   included   non-SBS  and   Social                                                                    
Security.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman explained that  the PERS employees that did                                                                    
not  participate   in  Social  Security  or   SBS  had  been                                                                    
separated out in  the data. He referenced Attachment  2 of a                                                                    
four-page   document  (copy   on   file),   Employers   that                                                                    
Participate  in  the  Supplemental Benefits  System  (SBS),                                                                     
which  indicated that  22 of  the  non-state PERS  employers                                                                    
were included.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
9:25:46 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Kiehl noted  that the  actuarial reports  broke the                                                                    
data down and included police/fire.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  pointed out  that the graph  showed that  for non-                                                                    
police/fire  and  TRS, the  401k  and  pension plans  barely                                                                    
differed in retention rates.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal emphasized  that the graph only  indicated what was                                                                    
happening but  not why  it was  happening. He  stressed that                                                                    
there was no  information on why people  left employment. He                                                                    
said  that  according to  the  date  people who  fell  under                                                                    
defined  benefit  plans and  those  who  fell under  defined                                                                    
contribution plans, left employment at the same rate.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
9:27:49 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator Kiehl  clarified that the slide  was state-only, and                                                                    
the data was limited in scope.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
9:28:22 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator Bishop asked about the  defined benefit numbers from                                                                    
2003 to  2006. He  wondered what year  what year  of service                                                                    
each tier was in and was  their exit the result of a regular                                                                    
work to retirement cycle.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal agreed  with Senator  Bishop and  relayed that  he                                                                    
would want to  consider the age of those  represented on the                                                                    
graph, he admitted that sometimes  the data resulted in more                                                                    
questions than answers.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
9:29:59 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  displayed slide  7,  which  showed retention  for                                                                    
defined contribution  only, and looked at  whether the group                                                                    
had SBS. He noted that the  slide was also sourced from LFD.                                                                    
He shared  that SBS added  money to retirement,  and without                                                                    
SBS, the  retention rate  dropped to  60 percent  within the                                                                    
first year  of employment. The  curve followed all  years of                                                                    
service. The  employers that  offered SBS  had a  much lower                                                                    
degree of  retention problem.  He did not  know how  much of                                                                    
the difference was due to  retirement issues or compensation                                                                    
issues.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  reiterated  that   the  graph  demonstrated  what                                                                    
happened but  not why.  He lamented that  the slide  did not                                                                    
answer  questions  about  retention. He  thought  the  graph                                                                    
showed that  money helped with retention.  He explained that                                                                    
SBS was  roughly a replacement  system for  Social Security.                                                                    
He  recounted   that  approximately  40   years  previously,                                                                    
governments were  given the  opportunity to  opt out  of the                                                                    
Social  Security  system  and   the  state  replaced  Social                                                                    
Security  with SBS;  the pension  plan was  replaced by  the                                                                    
401(k) plan.                                                                                                                    
9:33:36 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  discussed  why  the state  opted  out  of  Social                                                                    
Security, and thought it was  perhaps fear of bankruptcy, or                                                                    
the  payment  levels.  He discussed  potential  for  SBS  to                                                                    
replace more wages  and provide for more  flexibility than a                                                                    
Social Security plan.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
9:34:33 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman referenced  a four-page  handout (copy  on                                                                    
file) with a list of employers  that were not in SBS and not                                                                    
in Social  Security. There  were 52  employers that  were in                                                                    
neither system. There were 22  non-state employers that were                                                                    
in SBS who employed 11,000  Alaskans. He stressed that there                                                                    
were large  gaps in how  communities dealt with  the various                                                                    
plans.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
9:36:12 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal turned  to slide 8. He recalled that  Mr. Desai had                                                                    
had  described  in  his   February  23,  2023,  presentation                                                                    
described the characteristics of  the two plans and provided                                                                    
a chronology of  the retirement system.   He summarized that                                                                    
both   pension  plans   and   401(k)   plans  had   employer                                                                    
contributions,  one  being  a   pool  and  the  other  being                                                                    
individual accounts.   When the  state replaced  the pension                                                                    
plan  in  2006 with  the  401(k)  plan  it was  intended  to                                                                    
provide   comparable  levels   of   retirement  income   and                                                                    
comparable levels of cost.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
He discussed slide 8, Things to Remember:                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     1. The rate of return on investments is critical to                                                                      
     any discussion of retirement plans.                                                                                      
          • Earnings on  contributions generally provide far                                                                    
          more   retirement    income   than   contributions                                                                    
          themselves.  This is  true  of  both pensions  and                                                                    
          401(k) plans.                                                                                                         
               • Example:  10 years  of work at  $100,000 in                                                                    
               annual  pay   with  13  percent   of  payroll                                                                    
               contributed (employee  and employer combined)                                                                    
               gives  total  contributions  of  $130,000.  A                                                                    
               pension  for  10  years  of  work  with  a  2                                                                    
               percent multiplier  for each year  of service                                                                    
               gives a  pension of 20 percent  of salary, or                                                                    
               $20,000.  The  pension   would  burn  through                                                                    
               $130,000  in 6  ½  years.  What magic  allows                                                                    
               people  to collect  a pension  for 30  years?                                                                    
               The   magic    is   compound    interest   on                                                                    
               investments.                                                                                                     
     2. The rate of return is instrumental in determining                                                                     
     both the payout under a 401(k) plan and the actuarial                                                                    
     soundness of a pension system.                                                                                           
     3. Future rates of return are unknown, so must be                                                                        
     projected.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                              
9:40:42 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal looked at slide 9:                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     Things to Remember (continued):                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
     4. If earnings are less than projected, either the                                                                       
     employee or the employer will be disappointed.                                                                           
          a. In a  401(k) plan, the employee  bears the risk                                                                    
          that  investment  returns  will  not  support  the                                                                    
          anticipated level of retirement income.                                                                               
          b.  With a  pension, retirement  benefits are  not                                                                    
          merely  anticipated,  they   are  specified  by  a                                                                    
          formula  that   includes  years  of   service  and                                                                    
          salary,  but  not  investment returns.  A  defined                                                                    
          benefit often  means that  employees bear  no risk                                                                    
          of poor investment performance.                                                                                       
     5. Timing of service affects a 401(k) payout but does                                                                    
     not affect a pension                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  noted that  poor  investment  performance with  a                                                                    
pension  plan resulted  in the  employer making  up for  the                                                                    
lower rates of return. A  pension does not grow overtime but                                                                    
loses  value to  inflation the  more time  between beginning                                                                    
work and termination of employment.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
9:43:54 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  said that the  conclusion by the press  and others                                                                    
from information previously presented  by Mr. Desai was that                                                                    
a pension always provided a  higher retirement income than a                                                                    
401(k) plan. He concluded that  the idea was not necessarily                                                                    
accurate.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
9:44:45 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal turned to slide  10,  Salary Replacement for Public                                                                    
Employees  Retirement  System  (PERS) Employees  other  than                                                                    
Police and  Firefighters.  He said  that the slide  had been                                                                    
prepared to  help to see  and understand the  data presented                                                                    
by Mr.  Desai in  an easily  consumed spreadsheet.  He noted                                                                    
that the 401(k)  payout on his slide differed  from what had                                                                    
been  previously offered.  He explained  that Mr.  Desai had                                                                    
used a 5.8  percent rate of return to  annuitize payment. He                                                                    
believed  that the  rate was  too low  and that  the balance                                                                    
should  not   be  annuitized  but  rather   treated  like  a                                                                    
mortgage.  He  said that  the  payout  year amount  did  not                                                                    
change the conclusions reflected on the slide.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
9:48:26 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  advanced to slide  11, which showed a  graph using                                                                    
the  data  from  the  previous slide.  The  graph  showed  a                                                                    
retirement and  benefits scenario  that assumed a  7 percent                                                                    
rate of  return on a  401(k) balance while employed,  but no                                                                    
change in  the balance  between termination  and age  60. He                                                                    
noted that the pension line exceeded the 401(k) payout.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  explained that he  had expanded the  service years                                                                    
from 30 to 40, out of curiosity.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:51:00 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Kiehl understood  the assumption  was  a 7  percent                                                                    
rate  of  return, 25  percent  less  than what  professional                                                                    
managers would make.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal relayed  that he  had used  the rate  used by  Mr.                                                                    
Desai, which  was 7 percent. He  said that the rate  of 7.25                                                                    
was in actuarial reports, but  all of Mr. Desais  slides had                                                                    
used 7 percent.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Kiehl   asked  whether  the  assumptions   had  any                                                                    
adjustment  to  investment risk  based  on  the age  of  the                                                                    
investor.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal replied  in the affirmative; only  years of service                                                                    
had been used.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Kiehl  understood  that  the notion  of  a  30-year                                                                    
payout at the age of 60  meant that  when you drew your last                                                                    
dollar when you drew your last breath.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal answered affirmatively.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:53:33 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  asked  for assistance  understanding  the                                                                    
structural difference of the pension  plan versus the 401(k)                                                                    
plan.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal noted  that the pension was determined  by years of                                                                    
service and salary  and continued to grow  regardless of the                                                                    
interest rate. The 401(k) payout  was determined by interest                                                                    
rates, and the  graph showed a 7 percent rate  of return. He                                                                    
said that at 7 percent the  fund grew, and the longer it had                                                                    
to  compound interest,  the more  it would  grow.   He noted                                                                    
that two things affected the  401(k): the rate of return and                                                                    
time.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  thought that the topic  would be discussed                                                                    
later and in further detail.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
9:54:55 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal looked at slide 12:                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
       The conclusion that a  pension nearly always provides                                                                  
     more  retirement income  than a  401(k) plan  is flawed                                                                  
     because  the comparisons  reflect  a retirement  income                                                                    
     based on the balance of a  401(k) account at the end of                                                                    
     service.  That  is,  the  conclusion  is  based  on  an                                                                    
     assumption that                                                                                                            
          •   a   person    transitions   immediately   from                                                                    
          employment to retirement, or                                                                                          
          • a 401(k) account earns no interest from the                                                                         
          date of termination until the date of retirement.                                                                     
     • The  numbers provided  by the Division  of Retirement                                                                    
     and Benefits (R&B) are not  wrong, they simply show one                                                                    
     scenario. And that scenario is unlikely to occur.                                                                          
     •  Scenarios in  which  the balance  of  a 401(k)  plan                                                                  
     continues  to accumulate  earnings until  age 60  reach                                                                  
     the opposite conclusion.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
9:57:34 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.   Teal   showed  slide   13,   which   showed  a   table                                                                    
demonstrating  how alternate  scenarios could  be developed.                                                                    
He pondered  a scenario  of someone at  10 years  of service                                                                    
with a rate of return of  7 percent; 10 years of services at                                                                    
a salary  would result  in the  same pension,  regardless of                                                                    
what age the person was  when they began working. The 401(k)                                                                    
balance in  the retirement and benefits  scenario, which was                                                                    
10  years of  service  until the  age  of retirement,  would                                                                    
provide  $14,000  pension and  a  401(k)  payout of  $10,000                                                                    
because it  had no  time to compound.  He said  that younger                                                                    
employees  would have  longer  for their  401(k) balance  to                                                                    
compound.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal   discussed  "The  Rule   of  72,"  which   was  a                                                                    
mathematical  relationship that  indicated  if  the rate  of                                                                    
return number were divided into  72, the answer would be how                                                                    
many years for your investment to double.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
10:00:49 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Kiehl  queried  the  likelihood   of  each  of  the                                                                    
scenarios  considering the  demographics of  the workers  in                                                                    
the state.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  replied that  he had  no idea  because he  did not                                                                    
have the data.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Senator Kiehl thought the average  age of a first-time state                                                                    
employee  was approximately  45  years old.  He was  curious                                                                    
about the averages of each potential scenario.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal commented  that he had a spreadsheet  that he could                                                                    
bring up  that would offer  multiple scenarios for  rates of                                                                    
return for various starting ages.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman thought  the slide was trying  to show that                                                                    
the  mathematical relationship  between  the  two plans  was                                                                    
fundamental. He  thought it was  clear that an  older person                                                                    
would lean  toward a defined  benefit plan, and  the younger                                                                    
would lean toward defined contribution.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
10:03:09 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Bishop commented  that the  slide assumed  that one                                                                    
could manage their money and not drain their 401(k).                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  felt that  some  of  the data  was  being                                                                    
cleaned up and organized for better interpretation.                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
10:03:49 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal referenced slide 14:                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     Does slide 13 prove that 401(k) plans are always                                                                           
     better than pensions?                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     Not   necessarily.   401(k)s    can   generate   higher                                                                    
     retirement income at similar contribution levels, but                                                                      
     returns are uncertain.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     And the potential for higher retirement income may not                                                                     
     be the deciding factor.                                                                                                    
     Preferences depend on individual circumstances.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  pondered if  it  was  the state's  responsibility                                                                    
versus the  individual to manage  their own money.  He noted                                                                    
that employees  did not get to  make a choice of  plans upon                                                                    
employment.  He  suggested  that  the state  could  offer  a                                                                    
choice of plans, but that was currently not an option.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
10:06:06 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  turned  to  slide   15,  "Pension  versus  401(k)                                                                    
Payout," which showed a graph  utilizing the data from slide                                                                    
13  in  bar   graph  form.  He  observed   that  the  401(k)                                                                    
consistently and substantially paid more than a pension.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  emphasized that  the  two  plans would  join  and                                                                    
eventually  cross.  He  said that  401(k)  plans  eventually                                                                    
turned  downward because  money earned  at the  end did  not                                                                    
compound,  while the  pension  continued to  grow. He  noted                                                                    
that the issue could cause  some confusion and that starting                                                                    
salaries did not  change the numbers. He  stressed that rate                                                                    
of return, and age of service, were the drivers.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
10:08:10 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Senator Kiehl asked how the  chart would change when one did                                                                    
not know when they would die.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  stated that  it did not  and indicated  that there                                                                    
was no math  to knowing when one would  die. He contemplated                                                                    
that  if one  retired, and  then  died two  years later,  50                                                                    
percent of the  pension would go to the  spouse. He provided                                                                    
several hypotheticals  for each  plan. He stressed  that the                                                                    
scenarios would be based on individual choice.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Kiehl  asked   what  financial  advisors  suggested                                                                    
people do  regarding payout rates when  faced with outliving                                                                    
their 401(k) account.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal cited various ways  to manage the retirement funds.                                                                    
He said  that one could  do a required  minimum distribution                                                                    
approach,  which  would mean  that  the  amount drawn  would                                                                    
decrease over time, but the money would never run out. He                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
10:11:58 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  considered  slide   16,  "Pension  versus  401(k)                                                                    
Payout," which showed a graph  utilizing the data from slide                                                                    
13,  but with  an  assumption using  retirement and  benefit                                                                    
values for  salary, contribution  rates and  pension formula                                                                    
with the payout  beginning at age 60. He stated  that if the                                                                    
employee started  work at  age 25  and worked  the indicated                                                                    
number of  years, the rate  of return for the  entire period                                                                    
was 6  percent. He pointed  out that under the  scenario the                                                                    
pension provided a stable income.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
10:13:24 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal   displayed  slide  17,  "Pension   versus  401(k)                                                                    
Payout," which showed a graph  utilizing the data from slide                                                                    
13 but  with the assumption of  a 5 percent rate  of return.                                                                    
He thought that 5 percent might  be low, but using the lower                                                                    
rate   of    expected   return   could   result    in   less                                                                    
disappointment.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
10:13:40 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  highlighted  slide  18,  "Pension  versus  401(k)                                                                    
Payout," which showed a graph  utilizing the data from slide                                                                    
13, with the  same graph with the assumption of  a 6 percent                                                                    
return starting work  at age 40. He commented  that time was                                                                    
an  important  aspect  and starting  young  was  better  for                                                                    
compound interest and rate of return.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
10:14:57 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Senator Kiehl asked about the earlier start ages.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  went back  to slide 15  and explained  the pension                                                                    
would  be  decided by  how  much  the employee  made,  their                                                                    
contribution, and their rate of return.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Senator Kiehl  pondered whether another conclusion  from the                                                                    
graphs  could be  to start  young and  work a  little while,                                                                    
then go do something else while the money compounded.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal thought the best  opportunity for a Tier I employee                                                                    
would be to start young, let  the money sit for a long time,                                                                    
then come  back at 55  years old  as a special  assistant to                                                                    
the  governor  and  use  those later  years  as  your   high                                                                    
three.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman asked Mr. Teal  to explain the significance                                                                    
of  the "high  three" and  how it  might affect  the pension                                                                    
when returning to service.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal explained that a pension  was based on the years of                                                                    
service and the years at the  highest rate of pay.  For Tier                                                                    
I, it was the highest three  years. If an employee came back                                                                    
into service, the pension would  be based on the most recent                                                                    
highest paid years.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
10:19:31 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal continued  that the smart thing with  a pension was                                                                    
to work young,  leave for a while, and come  back later.  If                                                                    
one  had  a  401(k)  the   same  system  advantage  was  not                                                                    
available.  He noted  that a  401(k) plan  was a  percent of                                                                    
actual salary  accounting for the entire  working career. He                                                                    
agreed  that  it  was  the  interest  rate  of  return  that                                                                    
determined a 401(k) payout.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman thought that  working the pension system is                                                                    
such a way created unfunded  liability. He thought there was                                                                    
nuance that was not being addressed.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
10:21:22 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Kiehl appreciated  Mr.  Teal's  description of  the                                                                    
Tier I system. He mentioned Tier  III did not allow for such                                                                    
flexibility. He thought that the  smart financial move for a                                                                    
person would be setting up a  401(k) plan with the state and                                                                    
then leaving for federal employment and a federal pension.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  did not  know how  much employees  scrutinized the                                                                    
matter. He  agreed that if  one sat  down and did  the math,                                                                    
which he thought few people  engaged in, one could determine                                                                    
a financial life plan. He noted  that life does not often go                                                                    
as  planned.   He  thought   that  people   made  employment                                                                    
decisions  more  based  on  how  much  they  will  make  per                                                                    
paycheck, rather than what kind of retirement is offered.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
10:23:53 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal looked at slide 19:                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     Takeaways:                                                                                                                 
     1. Projected income at retirement age is the only                                                                          
     appropriate way to compare pension benefits to 401(k)                                                                      
     payouts.                                                                                                                   
          a. Pensions are not affected  by rate of return or                                                                    
          timing  of  service and  do  not  gain value  over                                                                    
          time.                                                                                                                 
          b. Income from  a 401(k) plan is  affected by rate                                                                    
          of return on investments and timing of service.                                                                       
          c.  Comparing a  401(k)  balance at  age  40 to  a                                                                    
          pension earned  at age  40 is  biased in  favor of                                                                    
          pensions  because doing  so ignores  the continued                                                                    
          compounding  of earnings  applicable  to a  401(k)                                                                    
          plan.                                                                                                                 
     2. As the rate of return on investments falls, 401(k)                                                                      
     payouts fall but pensions are unaffected.                                                                                  
          a. That point should now  be obvious, and some use                                                                    
          it to  conclude that a pension  generally provides                                                                    
         greater retirement income than a 401(k).                                                                               
          b. The conclusion is not supported by data.                                                                           
          c.  In  most   situations  (even  with  investment                                                                    
          returns as low  as 5%) a 401(k)  payout is greater                                                                    
          than a pension.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
10:26:00 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Senator Bishop  asked to discuss  number 1 on the  slide and                                                                    
asked for  help unpacking  the takeaway. He  understood that                                                                    
rates  of  return  mattered  regarding  funded  or  unfunded                                                                    
status.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal relayed that the  presentation did not dig very far                                                                    
into   unfunded  liability,   which   he  acknowledged   was                                                                    
critical.   He   noted   that  the   presentation   compared                                                                    
retirement  income rather  than the  actuarial soundness  of                                                                    
the  systems. He  stressed that  pension  benefits were  not                                                                    
affected  by  rates  of  return.  He  agreed  that  from  an                                                                    
employer's perspective,  Senator Bishop was correct  in that                                                                    
the system  generates unfunded liability, which  the was the                                                                    
employers responsibility.                                                                                                       
Co-Chair Stedman reminded that there was a constitutionally                                                                     
protected provision for the pension plan.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
10:28:58 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal addressed slide 20:                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     Takeaways (continued):                                                                                                     
     3. A  less obvious point  is that the same  low returns                                                                    
     that reduce  401k payouts could throw  a pension system                                                                    
     out of  actuarial balancemeaning   that the  trust fund                                                                    
     balance   would  be   insufficient  to   pay  projected                                                                    
     pensions.                                                                                                                  
     4.  Failing to  consider  the costs  of maintaining  an                                                                    
     actuarially sound pension system is a dangerous path.                                                                      
          a.  Benefits matter.  But they  are  not the  only                                                                    
          thing that matters.                                                                                                   
          b. Employer costs also matter.                                                                                        
          c.  Projected  contribution  rates  and  projected                                                                    
          rates of  return on investment can  make a pension                                                                    
          system appear  to be much  cheaper than it  can be                                                                    
          when assumptions do not match reality.                                                                                
          d. In  comparing retirement  plans, the  big issue                                                                    
          is risk, not merely contribution rates.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal thought that point 3 and point 4 addressed Senator                                                                     
Bishop's question. He highlighted that it did not take an                                                                       
investment loss to generate unfunded liability.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
10:30:50 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal advanced to slide 21:                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
     Takeaways (continued):                                                                                                     
     5.  Anything  that  increases salaries  also  increases                                                                    
     employer  and  employee  contributionsand   eventually,                                                                    
     retirement income.                                                                                                         
     a. For this reason, we should  not expect to be able to                                                                    
     return  to a  pension system  at the  former levels  of                                                                    
     contributions.                                                                                                             
          •  Contribution  rates  under the  former  pension                                                                    
          system  were designed  to fund  benefits based  on                                                                    
          salary  schedules in  place when  rates were  set.                                                                    
          That  schedule  had  5- 6-  and  7-year  holds  at                                                                    
          longevity  steps. Within  each  salary range,  the                                                                    
          maximum step was reached at 20 years of service.                                                                      
          • Salary schedules now  in place provide increases                                                                    
          every two  years with no  cap on steps.  With each                                                                    
          step increase  equivalent to a 3.25%  raise, final                                                                    
          salariesand   pensionscan  be  20%  or more  above                                                                    
          the  amounts  achievable   under  the  old  salary                                                                    
          schedules.                                                                                                            
     6. As legislators, you must balance employee benefits                                                                      
     and state costs.                                                                                                           
   a. Unfortunately, these move in opposite directions.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
10:33:46 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Senator Kiehl asked whether Mr.  Teal was comparing the cost                                                                    
of plans, or risk of plans.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal did  not  think it  was possible  to  have a  full                                                                    
discussion of cost without considering risk.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator   Kiehl  thought   that  the   comparisons  in   the                                                                    
presentation had  de-risked the 401(k) plan  by 100 percent.                                                                    
He thought Mr.  Teal had given oblique  answers to questions                                                                    
at the  table and wondered  whether Mr. Teal  was interested                                                                    
in having a balanced conversation on the matter.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
10:34:55 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal continued to address slide 21.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
10:35:08 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal  looked  at  slide   22,  "Pension  versus  401(k)                                                                    
Payout," which showed a graph  depicting the 401(k) plan and                                                                    
pension with  assumptions of retirement and  benefits values                                                                    
for salary,  contribution rates, and pension  formula for an                                                                    
employee starting work  at age 30 and  working the indicated                                                                    
number of  years at a rate  of return for the  entire period                                                                    
of 6 percent. Payout would begin  at age 60.  He pointed out                                                                    
that neither the  pension or 401(k) plan  reached the target                                                                    
of 70 percent,  even after 30 years of  service, which meant                                                                    
benefits  would flatten  out. He  noted that  neither system                                                                    
climbed to  a 70  percent wage-replacement. He  thought that                                                                    
there  was  some  weight in  the  argument  that  retirement                                                                    
income  was insufficient  with both  plans.   He  summarized                                                                    
that returning  to a Tier  III pension plan did  not address                                                                    
the issue for anyone with service  of less than 25 years and                                                                    
going  back  to  a  pension   plan  would  reduce  potential                                                                    
retirement   income.  He   pointed  to   the  dotted   lines                                                                    
representing  SBS. He  said that  SBS approximately  doubled                                                                    
the retirement available under a 401(k) plan.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
10:38:21 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal turned to slide 23:                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
The graph prompts many questions:                                                                                             
     1. Does any state offer a retirement system as                                                                             
     financially attractive as Alaska's "401(k) plus SBS"                                                                       
     system?                                                                                                                    
          1.Have proponents  of returning to a  pension plan                                                                    
          come  forward with  plans  from  other states  and                                                                    
          said "this  is why Alaska's retirement  plan isn't                                                                    
          competitive"?                                                                                                         
     2.Do employees understand how attractive Alaska's                                                                          
     retirement system is?                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  considered  the  graph on  slide  22  and                                                                    
thought  it   was  important  to  recognize   employees  and                                                                    
employers that were not included  in SBS or Social Security.                                                                    
He  contended   that  there  were   substantially  different                                                                    
results for those  who were included versus  those that were                                                                    
not.  He  did  understand  how  an  employer  could  not  be                                                                    
included in Social Security or SBS.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman referenced  Senator Kiehl's  comment about                                                                    
age  of employment,  and duration  of  employment. He  noted                                                                    
that  the   committee  had   asked  the   administration  to                                                                    
investigate and refine the data.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman   thought  slide  22  was   important.  He                                                                    
suggested  that  the  committee could  change  some  of  the                                                                    
assumptions but that the conclusion would not change.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
10:41:48 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Teal shared  that he  did  not believe  that there  was                                                                    
another   state  that   offered  a   retirement  system   as                                                                    
financially attractive as the one offered to state workers.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal continued to address slide 23:                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     2. Are considerations other than the potential amount                                                                      
     of retirement income driving the controversy?                                                                              
     3.  Is  the push  to  return  to  a pension  driven  by                                                                    
     employees  who work  for employers  that  do not  offer                                                                    
     SBS?                                                                                                                       
     4.  Would  returning  PERS  workers  (with  SBS)  to  a                                                                    
     pension plan fix  a part of the  retirement system that                                                                    
     isn't broken?                                                                                                              
     5.  Can the  State encourage  employers without  SBS or                                                                    
     Social  Security  to  offer   a  retirement  system  in                                                                    
     addition to the PERS 401(k) plan?                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal suggested  that roughly 18,000 workers  in PERS had                                                                    
a 401(k)k plan,  plus SBS, but there were  many employers in                                                                    
the state  that did  not offer SBS.  He asserted  that those                                                                    
working for a government employer  that did not offer SBS or                                                                    
Social  Security, he  offered the  example  of teachers  and                                                                    
Anchorage firefighters and police,  were in a broken system.                                                                    
He was  unsure how  the state could  get those  employers to                                                                    
add SBS or Social Security to the 401(k) plan.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
10:45:44 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal referenced slide 24:                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     Recap                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     1. Available  data do not  support the  conclusion that                                                                    
     Alaska's  401(k)  plan  is  inferior   to  a  Tier  III                                                                    
    pension, particularly regarding employee retention.                                                                         
     2. Whether  a 401(k)  plan or a  pension is  a "better"                                                                    
     retirement system is not clear.                                                                                            
          1. In most cases, a 401(k) plan offers greater                                                                        
          potential retirement income.                                                                                          
          2. Individual circumstances  and preferences vary.                                                                    
          Some  people  would  prefer  the  certainty  of  a                                                                    
          pensioneven   if  it  provides  less  incomewhile                                                                     
          others prefer the advantages of a 401(k) plan.                                                                        
     3. For  those fortunate  employees that  participate in                                                                    
     the Supplemental  Benefits System (SBS) as  well as the                                                                    
     401(k)  plan, 25%  of  their salary  is  set aside  for                                                                    
     retirement. Given  at least 15  years of service  and a                                                                    
     well-managed  nest  egg,  they   can  look  forward  to                                                                    
    retirement income of at least 70% of final salary.                                                                          
     4.  Some   employees  have   neither  SBS   nor  Social                                                                    
     Security,  and retirement  options  for  them could  be                                                                    
     improved.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal  asserted that  there were no  clear answers  as to                                                                    
which plan was better.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Teal thought Co-Chair Stedman  had some attachments that                                                                    
were not part of the presentation.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman shared  that his  office had  prepared the                                                                    
document  available on  the back  table (copy  on file).  He                                                                    
stressed that the  state had a retention issue  at the lower                                                                    
end of  the salary scale. He  hoped to gather data  and dive                                                                    
deeper into the issue.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
10:49:50 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Kiehl   thought  some   of  the   conclusions  were                                                                    
indisputable. He thought it would  be helpful to examine the                                                                    
risk factor and how it impacted employee behavior.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman   offered  that  the   unfunded  liability                                                                    
created  under  the pension  system  was  also part  of  the                                                                    
discussion about risk.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
10:51:32 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Senator Bishop asserted that  legislation would be necessary                                                                    
to  address the  problem. He  thought that  employees should                                                                    
have options to choose from.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman noted that the  subject was broad and would                                                                    
require more analysis and discussion.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman discussed housekeeping.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
ADJOURNMENT                                                                                                                   
10:52:59 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
The meeting was adjourned at 10:52 a.m.                                                                                         

Document Name Date/Time Subjects
033023 DCR PERS TRS MEMBERS BY EMPLOYER_DCP_SBS_SS (For Teal Handout) 3-30-23.pdf SFIN 3/30/2023 9:00:00 AM
PERS/TRS
033023 SFC Teal Retirement Presentation 3.30.23 Final 2nd.pdf SFIN 3/30/2023 9:00:00 AM
PERS/TRS